X has a Bernoulli distribution with parameter $p$ and Y has a Poisson distribution with mean $p$. What is the...












-1












$begingroup$


X ~ Bernoulli($p$) and Y ~ Poisson($p$) where $0<p<1$ and $p$ is the fixed number.



What is the maximum value of $P(X=Y)$ where the maximum value is taken over all possible joint distributions with specified marginal distributions?



That is... what is the joint distribution that maximizes the probability of X being equal to Y?



If I assume that $X$ and $Y$ are independent, finding the probability is easy since the only possible value $X$ can be is either $0$ or $1$. However, if I don't assume their independence, things get complicated. Any hints or help please?










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$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Since $P(X=0)=1-p<e^{-p}=P(Y=0)$, $P(X=1)=p>pe^{-p}=P(Y=1)$, and $P(Xgeqslant2)=0$, the maximum is $$1-p+pe^{-p}$$
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:30












  • $begingroup$
    @Did That comment should be an answer, I think
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Jan 13 at 20:31










  • $begingroup$
    @Did Are we adding the lower probability for each case to ensure the equality? like.. adding the upper bound for each case?
    $endgroup$
    – JHK
    Jan 13 at 20:45










  • $begingroup$
    Use the remark that $$P(X=Y)=sum_nP(X=n,Y=n)leqslantsum_nmin{P(X=n),P(Y=n)}$$ hence in the present case, $$P(X=Y)leqslant P(X=0)+P(Y=1)$$ and to complete the proof, it remains to build $(X,Y)$ such that the inequality is an equality.
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:46


















-1












$begingroup$


X ~ Bernoulli($p$) and Y ~ Poisson($p$) where $0<p<1$ and $p$ is the fixed number.



What is the maximum value of $P(X=Y)$ where the maximum value is taken over all possible joint distributions with specified marginal distributions?



That is... what is the joint distribution that maximizes the probability of X being equal to Y?



If I assume that $X$ and $Y$ are independent, finding the probability is easy since the only possible value $X$ can be is either $0$ or $1$. However, if I don't assume their independence, things get complicated. Any hints or help please?










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Since $P(X=0)=1-p<e^{-p}=P(Y=0)$, $P(X=1)=p>pe^{-p}=P(Y=1)$, and $P(Xgeqslant2)=0$, the maximum is $$1-p+pe^{-p}$$
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:30












  • $begingroup$
    @Did That comment should be an answer, I think
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Jan 13 at 20:31










  • $begingroup$
    @Did Are we adding the lower probability for each case to ensure the equality? like.. adding the upper bound for each case?
    $endgroup$
    – JHK
    Jan 13 at 20:45










  • $begingroup$
    Use the remark that $$P(X=Y)=sum_nP(X=n,Y=n)leqslantsum_nmin{P(X=n),P(Y=n)}$$ hence in the present case, $$P(X=Y)leqslant P(X=0)+P(Y=1)$$ and to complete the proof, it remains to build $(X,Y)$ such that the inequality is an equality.
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:46
















-1












-1








-1





$begingroup$


X ~ Bernoulli($p$) and Y ~ Poisson($p$) where $0<p<1$ and $p$ is the fixed number.



What is the maximum value of $P(X=Y)$ where the maximum value is taken over all possible joint distributions with specified marginal distributions?



That is... what is the joint distribution that maximizes the probability of X being equal to Y?



If I assume that $X$ and $Y$ are independent, finding the probability is easy since the only possible value $X$ can be is either $0$ or $1$. However, if I don't assume their independence, things get complicated. Any hints or help please?










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




X ~ Bernoulli($p$) and Y ~ Poisson($p$) where $0<p<1$ and $p$ is the fixed number.



What is the maximum value of $P(X=Y)$ where the maximum value is taken over all possible joint distributions with specified marginal distributions?



That is... what is the joint distribution that maximizes the probability of X being equal to Y?



If I assume that $X$ and $Y$ are independent, finding the probability is easy since the only possible value $X$ can be is either $0$ or $1$. However, if I don't assume their independence, things get complicated. Any hints or help please?







probability probability-theory probability-distributions






share|cite|improve this question















share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Jan 13 at 20:43









Bernard

119k740113




119k740113










asked Jan 13 at 20:24









JHKJHK

12




12












  • $begingroup$
    Since $P(X=0)=1-p<e^{-p}=P(Y=0)$, $P(X=1)=p>pe^{-p}=P(Y=1)$, and $P(Xgeqslant2)=0$, the maximum is $$1-p+pe^{-p}$$
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:30












  • $begingroup$
    @Did That comment should be an answer, I think
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Jan 13 at 20:31










  • $begingroup$
    @Did Are we adding the lower probability for each case to ensure the equality? like.. adding the upper bound for each case?
    $endgroup$
    – JHK
    Jan 13 at 20:45










  • $begingroup$
    Use the remark that $$P(X=Y)=sum_nP(X=n,Y=n)leqslantsum_nmin{P(X=n),P(Y=n)}$$ hence in the present case, $$P(X=Y)leqslant P(X=0)+P(Y=1)$$ and to complete the proof, it remains to build $(X,Y)$ such that the inequality is an equality.
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:46




















  • $begingroup$
    Since $P(X=0)=1-p<e^{-p}=P(Y=0)$, $P(X=1)=p>pe^{-p}=P(Y=1)$, and $P(Xgeqslant2)=0$, the maximum is $$1-p+pe^{-p}$$
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:30












  • $begingroup$
    @Did That comment should be an answer, I think
    $endgroup$
    – leonbloy
    Jan 13 at 20:31










  • $begingroup$
    @Did Are we adding the lower probability for each case to ensure the equality? like.. adding the upper bound for each case?
    $endgroup$
    – JHK
    Jan 13 at 20:45










  • $begingroup$
    Use the remark that $$P(X=Y)=sum_nP(X=n,Y=n)leqslantsum_nmin{P(X=n),P(Y=n)}$$ hence in the present case, $$P(X=Y)leqslant P(X=0)+P(Y=1)$$ and to complete the proof, it remains to build $(X,Y)$ such that the inequality is an equality.
    $endgroup$
    – Did
    Jan 13 at 20:46


















$begingroup$
Since $P(X=0)=1-p<e^{-p}=P(Y=0)$, $P(X=1)=p>pe^{-p}=P(Y=1)$, and $P(Xgeqslant2)=0$, the maximum is $$1-p+pe^{-p}$$
$endgroup$
– Did
Jan 13 at 20:30






$begingroup$
Since $P(X=0)=1-p<e^{-p}=P(Y=0)$, $P(X=1)=p>pe^{-p}=P(Y=1)$, and $P(Xgeqslant2)=0$, the maximum is $$1-p+pe^{-p}$$
$endgroup$
– Did
Jan 13 at 20:30














$begingroup$
@Did That comment should be an answer, I think
$endgroup$
– leonbloy
Jan 13 at 20:31




$begingroup$
@Did That comment should be an answer, I think
$endgroup$
– leonbloy
Jan 13 at 20:31












$begingroup$
@Did Are we adding the lower probability for each case to ensure the equality? like.. adding the upper bound for each case?
$endgroup$
– JHK
Jan 13 at 20:45




$begingroup$
@Did Are we adding the lower probability for each case to ensure the equality? like.. adding the upper bound for each case?
$endgroup$
– JHK
Jan 13 at 20:45












$begingroup$
Use the remark that $$P(X=Y)=sum_nP(X=n,Y=n)leqslantsum_nmin{P(X=n),P(Y=n)}$$ hence in the present case, $$P(X=Y)leqslant P(X=0)+P(Y=1)$$ and to complete the proof, it remains to build $(X,Y)$ such that the inequality is an equality.
$endgroup$
– Did
Jan 13 at 20:46






$begingroup$
Use the remark that $$P(X=Y)=sum_nP(X=n,Y=n)leqslantsum_nmin{P(X=n),P(Y=n)}$$ hence in the present case, $$P(X=Y)leqslant P(X=0)+P(Y=1)$$ and to complete the proof, it remains to build $(X,Y)$ such that the inequality is an equality.
$endgroup$
– Did
Jan 13 at 20:46












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