Prediction of the function values












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$begingroup$


There is a function: $f(t,x,y,z)$, where $t$- time, $x,y,z$- some arguments.



The values of $f$ for $tin [a,b]$ are known (100 samples). What is the most accurate way of predicting the value of $f$ for $t=b+1$, if the values of $x,y,z$ for $tin [a,b+1]$ are known?



ADDITIONAL INFO



I'm propagating the satellite position using an analytical method. During the propagation, the errors accumulate. I endeavor to predict the future position errors. $f$ represents the error value and arguments $x,y,z$ are the affecting parameters, such as distance to the Moon, Sun, solar flux, atmospheric density, etc.










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$endgroup$

















    0












    $begingroup$


    There is a function: $f(t,x,y,z)$, where $t$- time, $x,y,z$- some arguments.



    The values of $f$ for $tin [a,b]$ are known (100 samples). What is the most accurate way of predicting the value of $f$ for $t=b+1$, if the values of $x,y,z$ for $tin [a,b+1]$ are known?



    ADDITIONAL INFO



    I'm propagating the satellite position using an analytical method. During the propagation, the errors accumulate. I endeavor to predict the future position errors. $f$ represents the error value and arguments $x,y,z$ are the affecting parameters, such as distance to the Moon, Sun, solar flux, atmospheric density, etc.










    share|cite|improve this question











    $endgroup$















      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      There is a function: $f(t,x,y,z)$, where $t$- time, $x,y,z$- some arguments.



      The values of $f$ for $tin [a,b]$ are known (100 samples). What is the most accurate way of predicting the value of $f$ for $t=b+1$, if the values of $x,y,z$ for $tin [a,b+1]$ are known?



      ADDITIONAL INFO



      I'm propagating the satellite position using an analytical method. During the propagation, the errors accumulate. I endeavor to predict the future position errors. $f$ represents the error value and arguments $x,y,z$ are the affecting parameters, such as distance to the Moon, Sun, solar flux, atmospheric density, etc.










      share|cite|improve this question











      $endgroup$




      There is a function: $f(t,x,y,z)$, where $t$- time, $x,y,z$- some arguments.



      The values of $f$ for $tin [a,b]$ are known (100 samples). What is the most accurate way of predicting the value of $f$ for $t=b+1$, if the values of $x,y,z$ for $tin [a,b+1]$ are known?



      ADDITIONAL INFO



      I'm propagating the satellite position using an analytical method. During the propagation, the errors accumulate. I endeavor to predict the future position errors. $f$ represents the error value and arguments $x,y,z$ are the affecting parameters, such as distance to the Moon, Sun, solar flux, atmospheric density, etc.







      statistics






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      edited Jan 14 at 16:55







      Leeloo

















      asked Jan 13 at 19:24









      LeelooLeeloo

      1011




      1011






















          1 Answer
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          0












          $begingroup$

          Without any a priori information about $f$, the problem seems ill-posed. Because you have data values only along a curve and you know little of $f$ . Extrapolation will be hazardous.



          If you have a mathematical model with unknown parameters, you can estimate the parameters from the known values.



          Otherwise, you can just relate $f$ to the curvilinear abscissa along the trajectory and perform univariate interpolation.






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            I suppose it may be predicted by means of statistical methods.
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 13 at 21:03










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if your data is noisy, even less !
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 7:32










          • $begingroup$
            What about the Gaussian distribution, maximum likelyhood method etc.?
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 14 at 16:55










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if you are after magic, try deep learning.
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 19:46











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          1 Answer
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          active

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          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

          votes









          active

          oldest

          votes






          active

          oldest

          votes









          0












          $begingroup$

          Without any a priori information about $f$, the problem seems ill-posed. Because you have data values only along a curve and you know little of $f$ . Extrapolation will be hazardous.



          If you have a mathematical model with unknown parameters, you can estimate the parameters from the known values.



          Otherwise, you can just relate $f$ to the curvilinear abscissa along the trajectory and perform univariate interpolation.






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            I suppose it may be predicted by means of statistical methods.
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 13 at 21:03










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if your data is noisy, even less !
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 7:32










          • $begingroup$
            What about the Gaussian distribution, maximum likelyhood method etc.?
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 14 at 16:55










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if you are after magic, try deep learning.
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 19:46
















          0












          $begingroup$

          Without any a priori information about $f$, the problem seems ill-posed. Because you have data values only along a curve and you know little of $f$ . Extrapolation will be hazardous.



          If you have a mathematical model with unknown parameters, you can estimate the parameters from the known values.



          Otherwise, you can just relate $f$ to the curvilinear abscissa along the trajectory and perform univariate interpolation.






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            I suppose it may be predicted by means of statistical methods.
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 13 at 21:03










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if your data is noisy, even less !
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 7:32










          • $begingroup$
            What about the Gaussian distribution, maximum likelyhood method etc.?
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 14 at 16:55










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if you are after magic, try deep learning.
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 19:46














          0












          0








          0





          $begingroup$

          Without any a priori information about $f$, the problem seems ill-posed. Because you have data values only along a curve and you know little of $f$ . Extrapolation will be hazardous.



          If you have a mathematical model with unknown parameters, you can estimate the parameters from the known values.



          Otherwise, you can just relate $f$ to the curvilinear abscissa along the trajectory and perform univariate interpolation.






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$



          Without any a priori information about $f$, the problem seems ill-posed. Because you have data values only along a curve and you know little of $f$ . Extrapolation will be hazardous.



          If you have a mathematical model with unknown parameters, you can estimate the parameters from the known values.



          Otherwise, you can just relate $f$ to the curvilinear abscissa along the trajectory and perform univariate interpolation.







          share|cite|improve this answer












          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer










          answered Jan 13 at 19:49









          Yves DaoustYves Daoust

          126k672225




          126k672225












          • $begingroup$
            I suppose it may be predicted by means of statistical methods.
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 13 at 21:03










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if your data is noisy, even less !
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 7:32










          • $begingroup$
            What about the Gaussian distribution, maximum likelyhood method etc.?
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 14 at 16:55










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if you are after magic, try deep learning.
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 19:46


















          • $begingroup$
            I suppose it may be predicted by means of statistical methods.
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 13 at 21:03










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if your data is noisy, even less !
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 7:32










          • $begingroup$
            What about the Gaussian distribution, maximum likelyhood method etc.?
            $endgroup$
            – Leeloo
            Jan 14 at 16:55










          • $begingroup$
            @Leeloo: if you are after magic, try deep learning.
            $endgroup$
            – Yves Daoust
            Jan 14 at 19:46
















          $begingroup$
          I suppose it may be predicted by means of statistical methods.
          $endgroup$
          – Leeloo
          Jan 13 at 21:03




          $begingroup$
          I suppose it may be predicted by means of statistical methods.
          $endgroup$
          – Leeloo
          Jan 13 at 21:03












          $begingroup$
          @Leeloo: if your data is noisy, even less !
          $endgroup$
          – Yves Daoust
          Jan 14 at 7:32




          $begingroup$
          @Leeloo: if your data is noisy, even less !
          $endgroup$
          – Yves Daoust
          Jan 14 at 7:32












          $begingroup$
          What about the Gaussian distribution, maximum likelyhood method etc.?
          $endgroup$
          – Leeloo
          Jan 14 at 16:55




          $begingroup$
          What about the Gaussian distribution, maximum likelyhood method etc.?
          $endgroup$
          – Leeloo
          Jan 14 at 16:55












          $begingroup$
          @Leeloo: if you are after magic, try deep learning.
          $endgroup$
          – Yves Daoust
          Jan 14 at 19:46




          $begingroup$
          @Leeloo: if you are after magic, try deep learning.
          $endgroup$
          – Yves Daoust
          Jan 14 at 19:46


















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