How do I solve $4p^{3}(1-p) = [p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)][1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}]$?












0












$begingroup$


Suppose any child is male with probability $p$ or female with probability $1 − p$, independently of other children. In a family with four children, let $A$ be the event that there is at most one girl, and
$B$ the event that there are children of both sexes. Show that there is a value of $p$, with $0 < p < 1/2$, such that $A$ and $B$ are independent.



MY ATTEMPT



In the first place, we get $textbf{P}(A) = p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)$ and $textbf{P}(B) = 1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}$. Finally, we have $textbf{P}(Acap B) = 4p^{3}(1-p)$. According to the definition of independency, we obtain the following equation to solve



begin{align*}
4p^{3}(1-p) = [p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)][1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}]
end{align*}



Wolfram gives $1$ and $0.41133$ as the reals solution, but I suspect there is another approach to the problem. Could someone provide me an answer or an alternative way to tackle this exercise? I will be grateful anyway. Thanks in advance.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Not sure what you mean, but $$ 4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) - left( {p}^{4}+4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) right) left( 1-{p}^{4}- left( 1-p right) ^{4} right) = -2,{p}^{3} left( 3,{p}^{3}-4,{p}^{2}+6,p-2 right) left( p-1 right) ^{2} $$ so actually it is 8th degree and I don't see how you turn the main equation of degree 3 into 2?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 22:47










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You are right, I got a sign wrong - so easy to do.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 22:59










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You still get the cubic factor on which you can use intermediate value - the idea of finding a root in a range is an indication that this might be a method to use.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 23:00










  • $begingroup$
    As in $f(p)=3p^3-4p^2+6p-2$ and $f(0)=-2$ and $f(1/2)=3/8$ and now use IVT?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 23:11


















0












$begingroup$


Suppose any child is male with probability $p$ or female with probability $1 − p$, independently of other children. In a family with four children, let $A$ be the event that there is at most one girl, and
$B$ the event that there are children of both sexes. Show that there is a value of $p$, with $0 < p < 1/2$, such that $A$ and $B$ are independent.



MY ATTEMPT



In the first place, we get $textbf{P}(A) = p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)$ and $textbf{P}(B) = 1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}$. Finally, we have $textbf{P}(Acap B) = 4p^{3}(1-p)$. According to the definition of independency, we obtain the following equation to solve



begin{align*}
4p^{3}(1-p) = [p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)][1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}]
end{align*}



Wolfram gives $1$ and $0.41133$ as the reals solution, but I suspect there is another approach to the problem. Could someone provide me an answer or an alternative way to tackle this exercise? I will be grateful anyway. Thanks in advance.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Not sure what you mean, but $$ 4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) - left( {p}^{4}+4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) right) left( 1-{p}^{4}- left( 1-p right) ^{4} right) = -2,{p}^{3} left( 3,{p}^{3}-4,{p}^{2}+6,p-2 right) left( p-1 right) ^{2} $$ so actually it is 8th degree and I don't see how you turn the main equation of degree 3 into 2?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 22:47










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You are right, I got a sign wrong - so easy to do.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 22:59










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You still get the cubic factor on which you can use intermediate value - the idea of finding a root in a range is an indication that this might be a method to use.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 23:00










  • $begingroup$
    As in $f(p)=3p^3-4p^2+6p-2$ and $f(0)=-2$ and $f(1/2)=3/8$ and now use IVT?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 23:11
















0












0








0





$begingroup$


Suppose any child is male with probability $p$ or female with probability $1 − p$, independently of other children. In a family with four children, let $A$ be the event that there is at most one girl, and
$B$ the event that there are children of both sexes. Show that there is a value of $p$, with $0 < p < 1/2$, such that $A$ and $B$ are independent.



MY ATTEMPT



In the first place, we get $textbf{P}(A) = p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)$ and $textbf{P}(B) = 1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}$. Finally, we have $textbf{P}(Acap B) = 4p^{3}(1-p)$. According to the definition of independency, we obtain the following equation to solve



begin{align*}
4p^{3}(1-p) = [p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)][1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}]
end{align*}



Wolfram gives $1$ and $0.41133$ as the reals solution, but I suspect there is another approach to the problem. Could someone provide me an answer or an alternative way to tackle this exercise? I will be grateful anyway. Thanks in advance.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$




Suppose any child is male with probability $p$ or female with probability $1 − p$, independently of other children. In a family with four children, let $A$ be the event that there is at most one girl, and
$B$ the event that there are children of both sexes. Show that there is a value of $p$, with $0 < p < 1/2$, such that $A$ and $B$ are independent.



MY ATTEMPT



In the first place, we get $textbf{P}(A) = p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)$ and $textbf{P}(B) = 1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}$. Finally, we have $textbf{P}(Acap B) = 4p^{3}(1-p)$. According to the definition of independency, we obtain the following equation to solve



begin{align*}
4p^{3}(1-p) = [p^{4} + 4p^{3}(1-p)][1 - p^{4} - (1-p)^{4}]
end{align*}



Wolfram gives $1$ and $0.41133$ as the reals solution, but I suspect there is another approach to the problem. Could someone provide me an answer or an alternative way to tackle this exercise? I will be grateful anyway. Thanks in advance.







probability polynomials probability-distributions






share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question











share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question










asked Jan 11 at 22:06









user1337user1337

41710




41710












  • $begingroup$
    Not sure what you mean, but $$ 4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) - left( {p}^{4}+4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) right) left( 1-{p}^{4}- left( 1-p right) ^{4} right) = -2,{p}^{3} left( 3,{p}^{3}-4,{p}^{2}+6,p-2 right) left( p-1 right) ^{2} $$ so actually it is 8th degree and I don't see how you turn the main equation of degree 3 into 2?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 22:47










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You are right, I got a sign wrong - so easy to do.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 22:59










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You still get the cubic factor on which you can use intermediate value - the idea of finding a root in a range is an indication that this might be a method to use.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 23:00










  • $begingroup$
    As in $f(p)=3p^3-4p^2+6p-2$ and $f(0)=-2$ and $f(1/2)=3/8$ and now use IVT?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 23:11




















  • $begingroup$
    Not sure what you mean, but $$ 4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) - left( {p}^{4}+4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) right) left( 1-{p}^{4}- left( 1-p right) ^{4} right) = -2,{p}^{3} left( 3,{p}^{3}-4,{p}^{2}+6,p-2 right) left( p-1 right) ^{2} $$ so actually it is 8th degree and I don't see how you turn the main equation of degree 3 into 2?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 22:47










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You are right, I got a sign wrong - so easy to do.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 22:59










  • $begingroup$
    @Diger You still get the cubic factor on which you can use intermediate value - the idea of finding a root in a range is an indication that this might be a method to use.
    $endgroup$
    – Mark Bennet
    Jan 11 at 23:00










  • $begingroup$
    As in $f(p)=3p^3-4p^2+6p-2$ and $f(0)=-2$ and $f(1/2)=3/8$ and now use IVT?
    $endgroup$
    – Diger
    Jan 11 at 23:11


















$begingroup$
Not sure what you mean, but $$ 4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) - left( {p}^{4}+4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) right) left( 1-{p}^{4}- left( 1-p right) ^{4} right) = -2,{p}^{3} left( 3,{p}^{3}-4,{p}^{2}+6,p-2 right) left( p-1 right) ^{2} $$ so actually it is 8th degree and I don't see how you turn the main equation of degree 3 into 2?
$endgroup$
– Diger
Jan 11 at 22:47




$begingroup$
Not sure what you mean, but $$ 4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) - left( {p}^{4}+4,{p}^{3} left( 1-p right) right) left( 1-{p}^{4}- left( 1-p right) ^{4} right) = -2,{p}^{3} left( 3,{p}^{3}-4,{p}^{2}+6,p-2 right) left( p-1 right) ^{2} $$ so actually it is 8th degree and I don't see how you turn the main equation of degree 3 into 2?
$endgroup$
– Diger
Jan 11 at 22:47












$begingroup$
@Diger You are right, I got a sign wrong - so easy to do.
$endgroup$
– Mark Bennet
Jan 11 at 22:59




$begingroup$
@Diger You are right, I got a sign wrong - so easy to do.
$endgroup$
– Mark Bennet
Jan 11 at 22:59












$begingroup$
@Diger You still get the cubic factor on which you can use intermediate value - the idea of finding a root in a range is an indication that this might be a method to use.
$endgroup$
– Mark Bennet
Jan 11 at 23:00




$begingroup$
@Diger You still get the cubic factor on which you can use intermediate value - the idea of finding a root in a range is an indication that this might be a method to use.
$endgroup$
– Mark Bennet
Jan 11 at 23:00












$begingroup$
As in $f(p)=3p^3-4p^2+6p-2$ and $f(0)=-2$ and $f(1/2)=3/8$ and now use IVT?
$endgroup$
– Diger
Jan 11 at 23:11






$begingroup$
As in $f(p)=3p^3-4p^2+6p-2$ and $f(0)=-2$ and $f(1/2)=3/8$ and now use IVT?
$endgroup$
– Diger
Jan 11 at 23:11












1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes


















0












$begingroup$

Use computer algebra to get all the answers:



$$left{0,0,0,1,1,frac{1}{9} left(4-frac{38}{sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}+sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right),frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1+i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18}
left(1-i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17},frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1-i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9
sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18} left(1+i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right}$$



Why does this not suffice?






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the contribution, David. But I am afraid the author expected a "clever" solution.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:12










  • $begingroup$
    Alas, I don't see a "clever" solution... and wonder why one is needed—or even *wanted*—for such a problem.
    $endgroup$
    – David G. Stork
    Jan 11 at 22:13












  • $begingroup$
    If it helps, the problem comes from a probability textbook.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:14











Your Answer





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1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes








1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes









0












$begingroup$

Use computer algebra to get all the answers:



$$left{0,0,0,1,1,frac{1}{9} left(4-frac{38}{sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}+sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right),frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1+i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18}
left(1-i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17},frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1-i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9
sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18} left(1+i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right}$$



Why does this not suffice?






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the contribution, David. But I am afraid the author expected a "clever" solution.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:12










  • $begingroup$
    Alas, I don't see a "clever" solution... and wonder why one is needed—or even *wanted*—for such a problem.
    $endgroup$
    – David G. Stork
    Jan 11 at 22:13












  • $begingroup$
    If it helps, the problem comes from a probability textbook.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:14
















0












$begingroup$

Use computer algebra to get all the answers:



$$left{0,0,0,1,1,frac{1}{9} left(4-frac{38}{sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}+sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right),frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1+i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18}
left(1-i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17},frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1-i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9
sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18} left(1+i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right}$$



Why does this not suffice?






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the contribution, David. But I am afraid the author expected a "clever" solution.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:12










  • $begingroup$
    Alas, I don't see a "clever" solution... and wonder why one is needed—or even *wanted*—for such a problem.
    $endgroup$
    – David G. Stork
    Jan 11 at 22:13












  • $begingroup$
    If it helps, the problem comes from a probability textbook.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:14














0












0








0





$begingroup$

Use computer algebra to get all the answers:



$$left{0,0,0,1,1,frac{1}{9} left(4-frac{38}{sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}+sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right),frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1+i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18}
left(1-i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17},frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1-i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9
sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18} left(1+i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right}$$



Why does this not suffice?






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$



Use computer algebra to get all the answers:



$$left{0,0,0,1,1,frac{1}{9} left(4-frac{38}{sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}+sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right),frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1+i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18}
left(1-i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17},frac{4}{9}+frac{19 left(1-i sqrt{3}right)}{9 sqrt[3]{9
sqrt{681}-17}}-frac{1}{18} left(1+i sqrt{3}right) sqrt[3]{9 sqrt{681}-17}right}$$



Why does this not suffice?







share|cite|improve this answer












share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer










answered Jan 11 at 22:10









David G. StorkDavid G. Stork

10.8k31432




10.8k31432












  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the contribution, David. But I am afraid the author expected a "clever" solution.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:12










  • $begingroup$
    Alas, I don't see a "clever" solution... and wonder why one is needed—or even *wanted*—for such a problem.
    $endgroup$
    – David G. Stork
    Jan 11 at 22:13












  • $begingroup$
    If it helps, the problem comes from a probability textbook.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:14


















  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the contribution, David. But I am afraid the author expected a "clever" solution.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:12










  • $begingroup$
    Alas, I don't see a "clever" solution... and wonder why one is needed—or even *wanted*—for such a problem.
    $endgroup$
    – David G. Stork
    Jan 11 at 22:13












  • $begingroup$
    If it helps, the problem comes from a probability textbook.
    $endgroup$
    – user1337
    Jan 11 at 22:14
















$begingroup$
Thanks for the contribution, David. But I am afraid the author expected a "clever" solution.
$endgroup$
– user1337
Jan 11 at 22:12




$begingroup$
Thanks for the contribution, David. But I am afraid the author expected a "clever" solution.
$endgroup$
– user1337
Jan 11 at 22:12












$begingroup$
Alas, I don't see a "clever" solution... and wonder why one is needed—or even *wanted*—for such a problem.
$endgroup$
– David G. Stork
Jan 11 at 22:13






$begingroup$
Alas, I don't see a "clever" solution... and wonder why one is needed—or even *wanted*—for such a problem.
$endgroup$
– David G. Stork
Jan 11 at 22:13














$begingroup$
If it helps, the problem comes from a probability textbook.
$endgroup$
– user1337
Jan 11 at 22:14




$begingroup$
If it helps, the problem comes from a probability textbook.
$endgroup$
– user1337
Jan 11 at 22:14


















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