Markov Chain for a teleportation machine












0












$begingroup$


I am given the following problem:



Every time I teleport, the teleportation machine decides to transport me to the very same place I am with probability $α ∈ (0,1)$, or, if I don't repeat the same location, it randomly select one of the other $N−1$ places to which I can teleport and places me there instead. Find the limiting probability
$$
lim_{n→∞}
P(text{nth teleportation place is the same as the first place})
$$

I am also given the following hint: Define a suitable two state Markov Chain with states {initial place, other place}.



I approach the problem in the following way: Let $X_n = 0$ be the state in which we are at the initial place. Let $X_n = 1$ be the state in which we are at other place. Then the transition matrix is partially given by
$$
P=
begin{bmatrix}
alpha & 1-alpha \
beta & 1-beta
end{bmatrix}
$$

However, I can't seem to find $beta$. I tried used Bayes' rule and conditional probability but to no avail. Any help would be greatly appreciated










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    0












    $begingroup$


    I am given the following problem:



    Every time I teleport, the teleportation machine decides to transport me to the very same place I am with probability $α ∈ (0,1)$, or, if I don't repeat the same location, it randomly select one of the other $N−1$ places to which I can teleport and places me there instead. Find the limiting probability
    $$
    lim_{n→∞}
    P(text{nth teleportation place is the same as the first place})
    $$

    I am also given the following hint: Define a suitable two state Markov Chain with states {initial place, other place}.



    I approach the problem in the following way: Let $X_n = 0$ be the state in which we are at the initial place. Let $X_n = 1$ be the state in which we are at other place. Then the transition matrix is partially given by
    $$
    P=
    begin{bmatrix}
    alpha & 1-alpha \
    beta & 1-beta
    end{bmatrix}
    $$

    However, I can't seem to find $beta$. I tried used Bayes' rule and conditional probability but to no avail. Any help would be greatly appreciated










    share|cite|improve this question









    $endgroup$















      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      I am given the following problem:



      Every time I teleport, the teleportation machine decides to transport me to the very same place I am with probability $α ∈ (0,1)$, or, if I don't repeat the same location, it randomly select one of the other $N−1$ places to which I can teleport and places me there instead. Find the limiting probability
      $$
      lim_{n→∞}
      P(text{nth teleportation place is the same as the first place})
      $$

      I am also given the following hint: Define a suitable two state Markov Chain with states {initial place, other place}.



      I approach the problem in the following way: Let $X_n = 0$ be the state in which we are at the initial place. Let $X_n = 1$ be the state in which we are at other place. Then the transition matrix is partially given by
      $$
      P=
      begin{bmatrix}
      alpha & 1-alpha \
      beta & 1-beta
      end{bmatrix}
      $$

      However, I can't seem to find $beta$. I tried used Bayes' rule and conditional probability but to no avail. Any help would be greatly appreciated










      share|cite|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      I am given the following problem:



      Every time I teleport, the teleportation machine decides to transport me to the very same place I am with probability $α ∈ (0,1)$, or, if I don't repeat the same location, it randomly select one of the other $N−1$ places to which I can teleport and places me there instead. Find the limiting probability
      $$
      lim_{n→∞}
      P(text{nth teleportation place is the same as the first place})
      $$

      I am also given the following hint: Define a suitable two state Markov Chain with states {initial place, other place}.



      I approach the problem in the following way: Let $X_n = 0$ be the state in which we are at the initial place. Let $X_n = 1$ be the state in which we are at other place. Then the transition matrix is partially given by
      $$
      P=
      begin{bmatrix}
      alpha & 1-alpha \
      beta & 1-beta
      end{bmatrix}
      $$

      However, I can't seem to find $beta$. I tried used Bayes' rule and conditional probability but to no avail. Any help would be greatly appreciated







      probability markov-chains






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      asked Jan 15 at 8:45









      Mr_RobotMr_Robot

      486




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          $begingroup$

          If you are in another place, the probability you come back to the initial place is
          the probability you do not stay still $(1-alpha)$ multiplied by the probability the initial place is chosen $left(frac{1}{n-1}right)$, so



          $$beta = frac{1-alpha}{n-1}$$






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            1












            $begingroup$

            If you are in another place, the probability you come back to the initial place is
            the probability you do not stay still $(1-alpha)$ multiplied by the probability the initial place is chosen $left(frac{1}{n-1}right)$, so



            $$beta = frac{1-alpha}{n-1}$$






            share|cite|improve this answer









            $endgroup$


















              1












              $begingroup$

              If you are in another place, the probability you come back to the initial place is
              the probability you do not stay still $(1-alpha)$ multiplied by the probability the initial place is chosen $left(frac{1}{n-1}right)$, so



              $$beta = frac{1-alpha}{n-1}$$






              share|cite|improve this answer









              $endgroup$
















                1












                1








                1





                $begingroup$

                If you are in another place, the probability you come back to the initial place is
                the probability you do not stay still $(1-alpha)$ multiplied by the probability the initial place is chosen $left(frac{1}{n-1}right)$, so



                $$beta = frac{1-alpha}{n-1}$$






                share|cite|improve this answer









                $endgroup$



                If you are in another place, the probability you come back to the initial place is
                the probability you do not stay still $(1-alpha)$ multiplied by the probability the initial place is chosen $left(frac{1}{n-1}right)$, so



                $$beta = frac{1-alpha}{n-1}$$







                share|cite|improve this answer












                share|cite|improve this answer



                share|cite|improve this answer










                answered Jan 15 at 8:49









                HenryHenry

                99.9k480165




                99.9k480165






























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