Where does the bias come from in LogLog and HyperLoglog?












2














In the original LogLog paper from P. Flajolet, the cardinality estimation function is presented as



$$E := alpha_m m2^{1 over m} {^{sum_{j} M^{(j)}}}$$



Where $alpha$ is needed to correct the systematic bias in the asymptotic limit which cause overestimates.



However I am having trouble identifying where does this bias come from.



My intuition tells me this is related to the fact we retain the $max$ count of leading zeros, which is probably skewed to higher values.



Wikipedia states this is due to the risk of hash collisions, but that seems wrong as hash collision would underestimate not overestimates (this is actually an improvement in the HyperLogLog paper)



Has anyone a more explicit definition (ideally in layman terms) or reason explaining this bias?



Thank you!










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  • The two papers discussed here contrast LL and HLL; note in particular their respective uses of arithmetic and harmonic means. By the AM-HM inequality, you'd expect at least one - probably both - to be biased.
    – J.G.
    2 days ago


















2














In the original LogLog paper from P. Flajolet, the cardinality estimation function is presented as



$$E := alpha_m m2^{1 over m} {^{sum_{j} M^{(j)}}}$$



Where $alpha$ is needed to correct the systematic bias in the asymptotic limit which cause overestimates.



However I am having trouble identifying where does this bias come from.



My intuition tells me this is related to the fact we retain the $max$ count of leading zeros, which is probably skewed to higher values.



Wikipedia states this is due to the risk of hash collisions, but that seems wrong as hash collision would underestimate not overestimates (this is actually an improvement in the HyperLogLog paper)



Has anyone a more explicit definition (ideally in layman terms) or reason explaining this bias?



Thank you!










share|cite|improve this question









New contributor




Pierre Lacave is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.













This question has an open bounty worth +100
reputation from Pierre Lacave ending in 7 days.


Looking for an answer drawing from credible and/or official sources.
















  • The two papers discussed here contrast LL and HLL; note in particular their respective uses of arithmetic and harmonic means. By the AM-HM inequality, you'd expect at least one - probably both - to be biased.
    – J.G.
    2 days ago
















2












2








2







In the original LogLog paper from P. Flajolet, the cardinality estimation function is presented as



$$E := alpha_m m2^{1 over m} {^{sum_{j} M^{(j)}}}$$



Where $alpha$ is needed to correct the systematic bias in the asymptotic limit which cause overestimates.



However I am having trouble identifying where does this bias come from.



My intuition tells me this is related to the fact we retain the $max$ count of leading zeros, which is probably skewed to higher values.



Wikipedia states this is due to the risk of hash collisions, but that seems wrong as hash collision would underestimate not overestimates (this is actually an improvement in the HyperLogLog paper)



Has anyone a more explicit definition (ideally in layman terms) or reason explaining this bias?



Thank you!










share|cite|improve this question









New contributor




Pierre Lacave is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.











In the original LogLog paper from P. Flajolet, the cardinality estimation function is presented as



$$E := alpha_m m2^{1 over m} {^{sum_{j} M^{(j)}}}$$



Where $alpha$ is needed to correct the systematic bias in the asymptotic limit which cause overestimates.



However I am having trouble identifying where does this bias come from.



My intuition tells me this is related to the fact we retain the $max$ count of leading zeros, which is probably skewed to higher values.



Wikipedia states this is due to the risk of hash collisions, but that seems wrong as hash collision would underestimate not overestimates (this is actually an improvement in the HyperLogLog paper)



Has anyone a more explicit definition (ideally in layman terms) or reason explaining this bias?



Thank you!







probability-theory probability-limit-theorems






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edited 2 days ago







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Pierre Lacave is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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This question has an open bounty worth +100
reputation from Pierre Lacave ending in 7 days.


Looking for an answer drawing from credible and/or official sources.








This question has an open bounty worth +100
reputation from Pierre Lacave ending in 7 days.


Looking for an answer drawing from credible and/or official sources.














  • The two papers discussed here contrast LL and HLL; note in particular their respective uses of arithmetic and harmonic means. By the AM-HM inequality, you'd expect at least one - probably both - to be biased.
    – J.G.
    2 days ago




















  • The two papers discussed here contrast LL and HLL; note in particular their respective uses of arithmetic and harmonic means. By the AM-HM inequality, you'd expect at least one - probably both - to be biased.
    – J.G.
    2 days ago


















The two papers discussed here contrast LL and HLL; note in particular their respective uses of arithmetic and harmonic means. By the AM-HM inequality, you'd expect at least one - probably both - to be biased.
– J.G.
2 days ago






The two papers discussed here contrast LL and HLL; note in particular their respective uses of arithmetic and harmonic means. By the AM-HM inequality, you'd expect at least one - probably both - to be biased.
– J.G.
2 days ago












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